Timothy McAulay

 

Drought response of natural populations of Solidago altissima sampled from a soil moisture gradient in Minnesota

 

Global climate models predict that temperature and moisture regimens will shift across large geographic areas in the future.  Over the next 20-30 years, it is predicted that eastern MN will have lower soil moisture availability, conditions more similar to western parts of the state.  The extent to which increased aridity poses a threat to native plant populations depends upon whether these changes exceed the current tolerance limits of populations.   Currently, we know very little about the tolerance limits of native populations and even less about how much population fitness will decline as climate changes.   In an effort to increase our understanding of the impact of climate change on native plant species, I conducted two experiments to test local adaptation of populations to water availability: 1) a greenhouse study where nine populations sampled across a water-availability gradient in MN are subjected to well-watered and drought conditions, and 2) a field experiment where six populations are reciprocally transplanted into three sites across the state.