Droughts
1.The Concept of Drought
drought is a deficiency of precipitation over an extended period of time, usually a season or more. This deficiency results in a water shortage for some activity, group, or environmental sector.
Disciplinary Perspectives on Drought:
Meteorological, Hydrological, Agricultural and Socioeconomic
a. Meteorological Drought
Meteorological drought is defined usually on the basis of the degree of dryness (in comparison to some "normal" or average amount) and the duration of the
dry period.
b.Agricultural Drought
Agricultural drought links various characteristics of meteorological (or hydrological) drought to agricultural impacts, focusing on precipitation shortages,
differences between actual and potential evapotranspiration, soil water deficits, reduced ground water or reservoir levels, and so forth.
c.Hydrological Drought
Hydrological drought is associated with the effects of periods of precipitation (including snowfall) shortfalls on surface or subsurface water supply (i.e., stream
flow, reservoir and lake levels, ground water).
d. Socioeconomic Drought
Socioeconomic definitions of drought associate the supply and demand of some economic good with elements of meteorological, hydrological, and
agricultural drought.
Sequence of Drought Impacts
The sequence of impacts associated with meteorological, agricultural, and
hydrological drought further emphasizes their differences. When drought begins,
the agricultural sector is usually the first to be affected because of its heavy
dependence on stored soil water. Soil water can be rapidly depleted during
extended dry periods. If precipitation deficiencies continue, then people
dependent on other sources of water will begin to feel the effects of the
shortage. Those who rely on surface water (i.e., reservoirs and lakes) and
subsurface water (i.e., ground water), for example, are usually the last to be
affected.
2. Drought Indices
(1). Percent of Normal
(2). Deciles
Table 1: Decile Classifications for Dry and Wet Periods
Deciles 1-2 lowest 20% much below normal
Deciles 3-4 next lowest 20 % below normal
Deciles 5-6 middle 20% near normal
Deciles 7-8 next highest 20% above normal
Deciles 9-10 highest 20% much above normal
(3)Palmer Drought Severity Index ("The Palmer")
3. Causes of droughts
(1)Changes in circulation patterns
(2)El-Nino
(3) Drought conditions exacerbated by humans
4. Drought’ impacts
Environmental impacts
(1)Biology: Damage to natural habitats-loss of biodiversity
Reduced forest, crop, and range land productivity
(3) Water resources: Increased evaportranspiration. Lower ground water levels and reduced water quality
(4)Soils: caused soil desication, increasing soil ‘blowability’. More dust and sandstorms-Increased soil erosion; Decreased soil productivity-Desertification and soil degradation
Economic impacts
(1)Food and energy shortages
Drastic price increases
Expensive imports/substitutes
(2)Reduction of livestock quality
Sale of livestock at reduced market price
(3)Water scarcity
Increased transport costs
(4) Loss of jobs, income, and property
Deepening poverty
Increased unemployment
(5)Forced financial loans
Increased debt
Increased credit risk for financial institutions
Social impacts
(1)Food insecurity: Malnutrition and famine.
(2)Migration, resettlement, unemployment
(3)conflicts
Unlike other natural disasters, drought tends to drive people apart rather than bring them closer together. The shortage of food and water lead conflicts as people, community, and governments battle each other for the means to survive. After an earthquakeor flood, people are commonly at their best as they aid their neighbors and strangers in need; during a drought, because the disasters are slow and lasting long time, people are often at their worst as they fight for survival.
Almost all the hazards bring people closer, people like to help each other. However, droughts often lead to the conflicts between communities. Fighting for limited water resources and for survival.
(4)Public health risks due to increasing pollutants.
(5) Inequitable drought relief -Social unrest, distrust
(6)Urbanisation-Social pressure, reduced safety
5.Response to Droughts.